Commercial vehicle spare parts aftermarket seen topping $127B by 2030

By AI, Created 4:33 PM UTC, May 18, 2026, /AGP/ – The Business Research Company projects the global commercial vehicle spare parts aftermarket will exceed $127 billion by 2030, led by North America and heavy commercial vehicles. The forecast points to e-commerce logistics, preventive maintenance and expanding service networks as the main growth drivers.

Why it matters: - The commercial vehicle spare parts aftermarket is projected to top $127 billion by 2030, making it a sizable slice of both the broader automotive aftermarket and the transport economy. - North America’s lead and the USA’s scale point to where suppliers, distributors and service networks are likely to compete most intensely. - Growth in fleet uptime, maintenance demand and digital procurement will shape who captures replacement parts spending.

What happened: - The Business Research Company released a 2026 market report on the global commercial vehicle spare parts aftermarket, with a forecast through 2035. - The report estimates the market will reach more than $127 billion by 2030. - The market is projected to represent about 18% of the $722 billion automotive aftermarket and nearly 1% of the $9.4 trillion transport industry by 2030. - North America is forecast to be the largest region in 2030, at $48 billion. - The USA is forecast to be the largest country in 2030, at $39 billion. - Heavy commercial vehicles are projected to be the largest vehicle segment in 2030, accounting for 41% of the market, or $53 billion. - The report segments the market by vehicle type, spare part type, distribution channel and end user.

The details: - North America’s market is expected to grow from $40 billion in 2025 to $48 billion in 2030, a 4% CAGR. - The USA market is expected to rise from $33 billion in 2025 to $39 billion in 2030, a 3% CAGR. - Heavy commercial vehicles are supported by high mileage in long-haul operations, faster wear of powertrain and chassis parts, freight demand and fleet uptime priorities. - Spare part categories include body parts, lighting and electronic parts, interior components, powertrain and chassis parts, batteries and other parts. - Distribution channels include original equipment manufacturers, aftermarket sellers, online retailers and physical retailers. - End users include fleet owners, independent service providers and individual vehicle owners. - The report lists a free sample request at Request a free sample. - The full report is available at Access the detailed report.

Between the lines: - E-commerce logistics and last-mile delivery are pushing commercial vehicles to higher utilization rates, which increases replacement demand. - Preventive maintenance is becoming a bigger purchase driver as fleets use telematics and diagnostics to replace parts before failures occur. - Expanding service networks and digital parts platforms are reducing friction in sourcing, which can speed up replacement cycles and support recurring demand. - The report’s growth estimates are based on TBRC’s market modeling, not audited company revenue.

What’s next: - The report expects the biggest growth opportunities through 2030 to come from light, medium and heavy commercial vehicle segments. - Those three segments are projected to add more than $19 billion in combined market value by 2030. - Over the next five years from 2025 to 2030, light commercial vehicles are projected to add $6 billion, medium commercial vehicles $5 billion and heavy commercial vehicles $8 billion. - Fleet operators, repair networks and parts suppliers will likely keep investing in preventive maintenance, digital procurement and service capacity.

The bottom line: - The market’s growth story is less about vehicle sales and more about keeping high-use fleets on the road, with heavy trucks and North America setting the pace.